Machines change people, what do people do

Source：Updated：2017-07-26 13:27:19

The 11th summer davos BBS was held in dalian on June 27, 2008. As the focus of technology and innovation, artificial intelligence is one of the hottest topics of the year. With the intelligent robot 
 
We have also experienced profound changes in our way of working and living as high tech products permeate all aspects of production and management. What is the future of the robot market in China? Artificial intelligence, robot large-scale development right 
 
What are the effects of employment? How is the construction of the talent team related to robots in China? In response to these questions, the reporter has conducted an interview. 
 
For the fourth time the industrial revolution is a typical feature of intelligent, from government to the commercial, to civil, intelligent robot has penetrated into all aspects of production and management, are changing the way humans work and life style. 
 
Robots change the way they live 
 
Monkey spring night, 2016 CCTV 540 shenzhen alpha robot composed of 4 large array, live music rhythm and beat, demonstrate the 12 sets of the editor's dance by technicians, uniform dance let national television audience, shows the current domestic development of artificial intelligent technology. 
 
In fact, the robot is no longer a new thing on TV, the house small robot that the robot is represented by sweeping robot has been flying into the ordinary people, serving the public. 
 
Xiao wu, who works in Beijing, brought home the gift of a kovos sweeping robot last year. "Parents are too old to mop the floor at home, and sweeping robots can help them reduce household chores." Small wu said. 
 
At first, xiao wu's parents didn't trust the round "iron knot". "Can it be cleaner than someone else?" Once the switch is turned on, the sweeping robot will automatically check the room pattern and plan the path, and clean it meticulously. When it comes to the corner of the cabinet, the robot will even slow down automatically, and in a few moments the whole room will be cleaned. 
 
In addition to kovos, there are many brands of the floor of the floor, haier and other brands, sales are quite good. According to IFR (international federation of robotics) forecasts suggest that during 2015-2018, global sales of personal/family service robot will be up to 25.9 million units, the size of the market reached 12.2 billion yuan, more than 5 times the size of the market in 2014. 
 
In fact, domestic robots just a small part of the industrial robot is widely used in automobiles, electronics, plastics, food, metal processing industries such as industrial robots the size of the market. China's industrial robot market grew more than fivefold between 2010 and 2016, according to a report released in February by the international federation of robotics. Since 2013, China has been the world's largest market for industrial robots for four consecutive years. China's share of global market has grown from 1/5 in 2013 to nearly 1/3 in 2016. Along with the adjustment of industrial structure upgrade in our country and international transferring to China's manufacturing center, robot market in China will further increase, the market expansion speed will be further improved. 
 
Shift from demographic dividend to robot dividend 
 
Robots not only change people's lives, they also change the way factories are produced. 
 
Hli group, which produces air conditioning compressors, owns the largest robot factory in Shanghai. Since 2007, when "recruiting" robots, the group has owned 480 industrial robots and has replaced 357 front-line jobs since 2007, equivalent to nearly 1,000 front-line workers. 
 
The standard chartered bank's China, asean and prospects report, released in July, noted that its survey of more than 200 companies in the pearl river delta region expected workers' salaries to rise by an average of 7.2%. In this context, there are few entrepreneurs hoping to replace workers with more robots. 
 
Peng xingyun, a researcher at the institute of finance at the Chinese academy of social sciences, believes that machine replacement will be a basic trend in production. The emergence of new technologies, while eliminating some of the labor force, also created a new higher level of labor demand. The demographic dividend of the past is primarily understood as a producer. However, due to the large number of robots, the labor force will fall to a very low level in the production factor. The upland of future manufacturing is no longer the cost advantage of the labor force, but the intelligent robot technology and its popularization. Future growth should shift from demographic dividend to "robot dividend". 
 
At the 11th summer davos BBS, premier li keqiang has said that the opportunities presented by the fourth industrial revolution outweigh the challenges. Every advantage has its disadvantage. Such as employment, artificial intelligence, robot large-scale development result in some industry areas, unemployment problems, but through the "Internet +", through the "double gen", a new round of shopping, express delivery, the industrial revolution share the bike and other new technologies, new forms created jobs, far more than is replaced by robot. By pooling the wisdom of the people, the wealth created and the added jobs will be far greater than lost. 
 
About how to cope with the effects of the industrial robot for employment, director of China private economy research institute Tan Haojun thinks, from the perspective of the basic pattern of employment, micro, small and medium enterprises is the main employment, and the number of micro, small and medium enterprises to use the robot is very less. So, it is the most effective way to cope with the impact of robot by supporting and developing small and medium-sized enterprises. How to use more social resources, government resources and policy resources to develop small and medium-sized enterprises and support small and medium-sized enterprises is the development thought that governments at all levels must establish. 
 
Developing the talent cultivation of robot industry is the key 
 
Robot density refers to the average number of robots per 10,000 workers. Statistics show that China's robot density is only 30, well below the world average of 62, and the world's highest robot density has reached 437. According to the national related industry planning, by 2020, China's industrial robot industry system requires three to five internationally competitive companies, 8 to 10 supporting industry cluster, the robot density reached more than 100. From 30 to 100, it's more than three times the size of the market. Domestic robot faces broad development space. 
 
However, the rapid development of the robot industry is facing the problems of weak industrial innovation, low-end high-end industry and small robot enterprises. 
 
Shenyang siasun robot company dean xue fang said: "more than domestic robot company for nearly five years, the enterprise on a smaller scale, more concentrated in the field of system integration, the whole machine research and development ability. Enterprise quantity, industry dispersion, easy to form a" rush "situation." 
 
The shortage of professional talent is the reason why the domestic robot industry is not able to take great strides, according to gao gao, a professor of mechanical and dynamic engineering at Shanghai jiaotong university. It takes more than a decade for a robot to develop professional talent. "Every year graduate from my team of professional Dr Robot is only a dozen people, this professional requirement they are comprehensive talents, machinery, mechanical, electronic, all aspects of professional master. Now, the core component of domestic robot company manufacturing technology relative to the international top level still has certain gap." 
 
It is not fully estimated that there are over 6,000 enterprises employing industrial robots in the Yangtze river delta region alone, with a talent gap of about 50,000. Enterprises need not only industrial robot field programming, robot automation maintenance, such as talents, also need a lot of work in the industrial robot installation and after-sales service of specialized personnel. With the development of China's manufacturing industry, the growth rate of industrial robots is expected to increase by more than 25% in the next three to five years, and the gap of highly skilled talents will increase year by year. 
 
A robot is a complex system project. Qualified professionals must have comprehensive professional skills to operate various robots independently. In some high-end precision manufacturing industry, its daily maintenance, follow-up maintenance, debugging, installation required accuracy is higher, without the professional training of personnel it is difficult to grasp the technical know-how, so we need some professional personnel to operate. Zhou Ming, deputy director of ministry of education test center points out: "develop the skills of industrial robot operator, it is a very real problem. If you do not speed up the training, will give the national intelligence."