Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) market, where the risks and opportunities in the future

Source：Updated：2016-10-31 08:04:34

You still feel pretty rare unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), a few years ago now is getting closer and closer to our lives, but not many real players. A senior player said hangzhou, hangzhou urban consumer drones - or entertainment with uav is YiErQianTai number, and is close to saturation. 
But as drones in the breakthrough of smart technology such as vision, perception, a broad market for ordinary consumers may be opened. 
 
Players in the majority with photography fans 
The original market close to saturation 
A media is engaged in photographic work in hangzhou tian liang (a pseudonym) unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) is a senior player, is also among the first customers to buy consumer unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) hangzhou, bought the first unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) in August 2012, have bought three so far. 
"Is the first big xinjiang's first generation of products: 1. At that time, the media circle in hangzhou and bought two three people the unmanned aerial vehicle (uav). The whole hangzhou city estimates are more than 10 units." Tian liang said. A bare machine price is 8000 yuan, deserve to go up yuntai (when shooting stabilising), GoPro cameras, WuLiuKuai battery (each battery life only five or six minutes), a total cost to 1.5 ~ 16000 yuan. 
But the first generation of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) location is not very good, return to the ground there is error, while the error is within 3 meters; Image transmission system also need to buy. A year later, tian liang changed a new product, the price of 8000 yuan of less than, to match the QiBaKuai batteries, each battery life extended to about 20 minutes. Because of the yuntai, camera is more stable. After more than a year, xinjiang and the elves 3, positioning system, camera full integration, it's much more convenient to use, but also increase the indoor visual positioning, can be used for indoor shooting. He put the original products, including batteries, GoPro cameras with 2000 yuan price sold to the new players, their bought 3 elves. 
Tian liang has also been focused on the major product of xinjiang. "They just released the 'royal' more miniaturization, foldable, easy to carry. The elves 3 is bigger, can't fold, so usually I in the car boot." As for the update, tian liang said temporarily don't consider, such as the existing product damaged again. 
Photography circle unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) is now the standard, need to work, otherwise cannot compete with somebody else. But the market is not big, I feel close to saturation. Hangzhou urban consumer unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) estimates are YiErQianTai, photographers and photography enthusiasts, this part estimates accounts for eighty percent of seven; another is advertising companies and surveying and mapping. Television using unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) requirements higher, the price to 10 from tens of thousands of yuan to ten thousand yuan, but the number is not much, not more than 100 units." Tian liang said. 
For photographers, unmanned aerial vehicles (uavs) is a big investment, but output is not necessarily the best. "An estimated ten people inside can back this is two, three. Although there will be some photo contest, but after all, very few can win. Like I said, is also spare time to a friend to photograph, so three drones can basically." 
Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) high failure rate 
The temporary loss of management and related regulations 
Tian liang said, unmanned aerial vehicles (uavs) or failure rate on the high side, falling things happen. "The first unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) fell down two or three times, mostly because the battery contact undesirable, fell suddenly loses power. Three drones fell a total of five or six times." In October last year, his elven 3 ready to shoot at the west lake, will take off 10 seconds or so suddenly lost. 
Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) is through the wireless remote control, fell due to the interference of things also happen from time to tome, reason is the use of radio is the frequency. Last month a photography contest, a press photographer jiaxing a 20000 yuan worth of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), because the high-powered uav interference and drop down by others. And damage of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), the maintenance cost is very high, thousands of yuan of the cost of maintenance is the norm. 
In the technology of Daniel Wang Mengqiu eyes, however, the uav has to be it's not difficult to solve the electromagnetic interference. He thinks, automatic, intelligent, is to play a good foundation for further development of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav). 
Injuries are occasionally happen. "In the wild, fly, landing platform, some people will pick up with the hand, arm will be not carefully propeller scratches. My colleague will be scratched. If fell unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) just hit people, this possibility is not. I'm pretty careful, many people won't fly." Tian liang said. Elves are like 3, although said that can fly in the interior, but one thousand propeller hurt person, consequence is pretty serious, so in general, he is not in indoor flight. 
As an emerging industry, our country at present, the existing laws and regulations, government documents for civil unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) control, airworthiness, cannot operation, examination and approval and other effective management and guidance. In 2013 the civil unmanned aircraft system driver management interim provisions "also just made some principled regulations. 
Song, group vice President, unmanned aerial vehicles industry experts Feng Li thinks, industry management of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) will have a perfect process step by step. "It's like the emergence of the car, the traffic rules and standards also experienced a process of gradually improve, to now is still in the health industry development." Now the United States, European countries and Japan have been introduced such as unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) the laws and regulations of the industry, China is actively brewing rules. 
Huge potential for new application scenarios 
Wear the VR experience the air around 
In fact, the unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) in addition to aerial, there are still many application fields. 
"Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) application range is very wide." China aviation committee Zhang Juen director said. Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), for example, can be used on paramilitary police anti-drug and anti smuggling purposes, can also be used for fire fighting and rescue, medical and rescue, earthquake relief, etc., can also be used for agricultural plant protection, environmental monitoring, power patrol, alternative dangerous aerial work, hard work, toxic and harmful operations, etc., has a very big market potential in industrial application. Unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), as it were, the future is air intelligent robot, can completely replace the human independently complete a variety of airborne operations; Combined with imaging system and so on, at the same time to extend application scenarios to various industries, such as business applications can be used to express delivery industry, film and television production, etc. 
Zhao innovation is avic chengdu technology center of a flight control designer, in the international innovation contest fixed wing uavs game won the third place. He told the qianjiang evening news reporter, original fixed-wing uav autonomous landing support needed by artificial and rocket-propelled, application is restricted, and some technology is not very mature. And now they are independent research and development products, a key to achieve has been able to take off, a key recovery, and do vertical take-off and landing, can say is a breakthrough. "Industrial-grade unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) market is just beginning, the market potential is bigger than consumer unmanned aerial vehicle (uav)." , "said zhao innovation compared with multiple uav rotorcraft, fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) in a large area of plant protection, sowing and aspects of fire fighting and rescue effect is better." 
Li Bingbing rotor is the shenyang institute of automation team leader, this time his team won the unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) rotor class innovation grand prix champion. "The recognition of crops to the affected area, it is limited to the man-machine and inspections of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav). The future uavs to do through the historical data can be intelligent identification of crops to the affected area, the technology needs to be improved at present." But uavs at present in the application of plant protection, etc, than the artificial way to save a lot of cost. 
Wang Mengqiu with unmanned aerial vehicles (uavs) and is ready to consumer, unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) in a different approach. "Our uav is for ordinary people to play, is not only a few professional photography fans." Wang Mengqiu said. Many years ago, eliminated film machine, digital camera this time, with no chance won't eliminate the shaft, and even from digital cameras to cut a big piece of cake? 
"Any product if just need to be closely related with consumer, will get rapid development. The future uavs application scenario is likely to become essential to life." Feng Li also thought. According to her introduction, song's shares have dropped in VR devices, panoramic camera system, uav platforms and products all have strong ability of research and development and manufacturing, has can provide unmanned aircraft manufacturing enterprise with a new "unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) + panoramic camera + VR applications overall solution. 
"These three technologies, can bring a lot of emerging applications, such as sporting events and scenic spot advertising. Through the panoramic camera unmanned aerial vehicle (uav), consumer wearing VR head show, never leave home can online experience the feeling of flying in the scenic tour, and can be arbitrary around to watch all angles of view, and through the WeChat or weibo immediately share with family and friends." Feng Li said. 
In terms of security guard, unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) in high altitude panoramic camera when no blind spots. 
EVTank research institutions, according to the analysis of unmanned aerial vehicle (uav) market in the next few years is expected to achieve more than 50% growth, is expected in 2020, the global market will be sold in 4.33 million, the size of the market is expected to reach $25.9 billion.