You may be the guy who will be replaced by AI

Source：Updated：2017-05-16 08:10:54

Annual general meeting of shareholders buffett is a pilgrimage to the investment community, in the changeable world, with the world's people will make money in two words, is not only an honor, is also a kind of faith. The faithful pursuit of wealth is like reading the bible of proverbs, buffett said every word everyone in taste again and again, each paragraph are scrambling to analyze the media. 
 
Although buffett for science and technology has always been not too cold, but the shareholders' general meeting him for the AI will trigger a massive layoffs anticipation or has caused a lot of media widely read. Of course, Kevin kelly made even bolder predictions before buffett. He thinks that in the end of the world, more than 70 percent of the occupations that people will be engaged in today will be replaced by AI. 
 
Many of us have not lived in the end of the century, but the fact that our jobs have been replaced by artificial intelligence has begun to happen in some areas. In the Internet age of the PC + network, it took nearly 40 years for the Internet to reach the Internet. Mobile phones + 3G, 4G and wi-fi enabled people to surf the Internet for nearly a decade. Artificial intelligence began to compete with humans for only five years. In the face of a future world of human-computer coexistence, every ordinary person who is being revolutionized may begin to redefine himself. 
 
The apocalypse of AI 
 
It is believed that everyone has a feeling, and a lot of sci-fi scenes are becoming reality. In mechanization, the software industry, with the calculation of the main chip and driver software hardware products, cloud computing and big data periodically mature after the arrival of recent years, artificial intelligence, success will come to the fore. 
 
Why do we need artificial intelligence? This involves both human race competition between the need for high-level tools, also have the chaebol from commercial society the raw power to shape the differentiation competitive advantage. In the military field, ezer play a drone as representative's weapons unmanned trend is widely involved in actual combat, no one chariot forces in Russia this year also in the Syrian city marked a new epoch in the combat AI in the street. And interactivity, scene applied more artificial intelligence products as previous home PC, smart phones, will be in a new era to redefine a consumer market, brings the new industrial revolution and business opportunities. 
 
AI's core is based on an intelligent application based on current operational capabilities. In the traditional server era, AI is limited to the limited industry applications, the single high precision manufacturing enterprise automation production and other fields. This period of AI, the implementation of the fixed process, repeated mechanical movement, replace the human is not up to the high precision, high strength, repetitive physical work. 
 
Into the era of cloud computing, as computing power and storage capacity of a revolutionary upgrade, big data and cloud since the emergence of the learning system prototype for AI is endowed with a wide range of application, intelligent commercial consumption began to enter into the public domain. In the Internet of things, the wisdom city concept, under the drive of the hardware equipment of the chip processing power, connected to the Internet, voice, video, infrared, radio frequency (rf), and other areas of the sensor achieved rapid development. With cloud platforms, cloud services and self-learning, the communication between machines and people becomes possible. The smart home based on voice interaction has made substantial progress with big data and cloud services, such as amazon. 
 
In this phase, AI will gradually replace most of the basic, service-oriented jobs that humans are no longer willing to do. It extends intelligent, intelligent, and automated hardware services to families, cars, offices, urban functional services, etc. Cost and consumer market considerations. The widespread use of AI in human life and the continued growth of the global population will inevitably lead to conflict with machines. 
 
In the coming era of quantum computing, artificial intelligence will no longer rely on a large server cluster, the miniaturization of artificial intelligence and mobile will enter and practical. The rapid real-time processing power of the AI front end system greatly improves the anthropomorphism of artificial intelligence. The mature AI world will be a world of human and humanoid robots. Such kind machine will be given a certain ability to think, to be involved in the vast majority of routine work, walk at the forefront of human civilization conflict, become the symbol of family wealth. The highly anthropomorphic of AI will also lead to deep social and ethical issues. 
 
AI's iterations will not end in quantum, and the challenges we face are already in the cloud. 
 
You may be on the way out of AI 
 
It never occurred to anyone that the basic staff of the banking industry would be the first target of AI's development. Last year alone, there were more than 60,000 redundancies in the big four lines, plus a variety of small and medium-sized Banks and credit unions, which in 2016 estimated that there were more than 100,000 direct cuts. 
 
The investment banking industry has been the IT technology, intelligent highest industry, perfect the industry IT system platform construction, public data protocol interaction, strict regulatory measures are for the use of new technology provides the best soil. Internet finance and mobile payments have driven a massive increase in the number of off-shelves transactions, allowing the public financial services to begin to wean themselves off bank branches. 
 
The smart teller machine at the bank branch has been able to replace more than 80 percent of the work of the manual teller. In terms of financial business risk control, mobile intelligent terminal and home intelligent terminal, and the wisdom city under the widespread record video, audio, behavior sensor, a steady stream of provide the personal data flow. The AI relies on big data to help the financial industry more accurately target customer credit, process automation, and maximize the help to avoid bad debts. 
 
Banking association, according to the banking financial institutions in 2016 from ark trading up to 177.714 billion, up 63.68% from a year earlier, from ark trading amount of 1.52254 quadrillion yuan, the average from the tank rate of 84.31%, among them, the minsheng bank from ark business rate has reached a staggering 99.27%. 
 
About 80 per cent of China's roughly 3.8 million banking workers are bank tellers, according to bank regulators. The vast majority of the 262, 000 bank tellers will enter the high-risk sector over the next 10 years, and at least 300,000 more in the next three years, the risk of being replaced by AI. 
 
The halo of investment bankers are also in the shadow of the fast-growing AI. Artificial intelligence is the game master, can play the game without emotion, and the financial market is always the most gaming place. In recent years, intelligent investors have outperformed actively managed asset managers such as hedge funds. 
 
AI compared with investment banking/PE/VC professionals, in rapid absorption process analysis, deep learning, overcome the shortcoming of human emotional thought and blind spots, personalized service and fast on the systematic operation has shown the comprehensive advantage. To enhance competitiveness, international investment Banks, including Goldman sachs, are investing more in AI and deep learning. The rapid increase in AI applications also means the departure of a group of traditional investment Banks/PE/VC professionals. 
 
The struggling manufacturing industry has also been forced to start a large-scale "machine replacement" programme in contrast to the landscape of the financial sector. A manipulator is the labor efficiency of the four workers, not only has a significant improvement in the yield, but the cost is recouped in half a year. Without food and accommodation, need not pay social security, without knowledge of personnel management, according to the size of the order may at any time corresponding capacity matching, artificial lower maintenance costs than late. More critical is the ability to work 24 hours a day without paying overtime. 
 
In jobs, maintain the stability of the big background, the two processing and manufacturing in guangdong province and zhejiang province province had to large-scale introduce "machine substitution" program, in which to complete the 500 billion to 2018 in zhejiang province "machine substitution". After the 1990s, China's unique migrant population will be phased out. Given the ravages of AI, it will be a new and grim proposition for the young people of three or four cities and the vast rural areas to lay restless youth. 
 
It is not just the financial and manufacturing industries that are facing the crisis, including the traditional high-paying knowledge-based jobs that will be replaced by AI in the near future. In more and more of the scene, the AI will replace many knowledge work, including programmers, lawyers, librarians, journalists, and even the broadcasting, etc. 
 
The future of military applications will be dominated by AI. The central nervous system of the satellite network, early warning, intelligence and cross-platform command system will carry the non-human model of local warfare. By uav, the mecha, machine warrior, automated logistics transportation management system unit of war will be the first choice of the war, science fiction into reality of the time can't more than 10 years. 
 
Quantum computing has come into view, and China has once again stood at the commanding heights of global technology after the tang and song dynasties. With military and commercial social competition, a new wave of AI development will take place around the world. How the AI co-exists, how to redefine itself, is worthy of every industry and working group that is about to be changed.